Chun Pong (Conroy) Lau Welcome! I am an Assistant Professor of Economics in the Darla Moore School of Business at the University of South Carolina. I received my Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Chicago in June 2026. My research interests are in econometrics and industrial organization. [Curriculum Vitae] Email:
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Working Papers
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Sensitivity analysis for dynamic discrete choice models
Revise and Resubmit, Quantitative Economics [Paper]
[Abstract]
In dynamic discrete choice models, some parameters, such as the discount factor, are being fixed instead of being estimated. This paper proposes two sensitivity analysis procedures for dynamic discrete choice models with respect to the fixed parameters. First, I develop a local sensitivity measure that estimates the change in the target parameter for a unit change in the fixed parameter. This measure is fast to compute as it does not require model re-estimation. Second, I propose a global sensitivity analysis procedure that uses model primitives to study the relationship between target parameters and fixed parameters. I show how to apply the sensitivity analysis procedures of this paper through two empirical applications.
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Combining clusters for the approximate randomization test
Revise and Resubmit, Journal of Econometrics [Paper]
[Abstract]
This paper develops procedures to combine clusters for the approximate randomization test proposed by Canay, Romano, and Shaikh (2017). Their test can be used to conduct inference with a small number of clusters and imposes weak requirements on the correlation structure. However, their test requires the target parameter to be identified within each cluster. A leading example where this requirement fails to hold is when a variable has no variation within clusters. For instance, this happens in difference-in-differences designs because the treatment variable equals zero in the control clusters. Under this scenario, combining control and treated clusters can solve the identification problem, and the test remains valid. However, there is an arbitrariness in how the clusters are combined. In this paper, I develop computationally efficient procedures to combine clusters when this identification requirement does not hold. Clusters are combined to maximize local asymptotic power. The simulation study and empirical application show that the procedures to combine clusters perform well in various settings.
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Aggregating treatment effects across multiple outcomes
[Paper]
[Abstract]
Researchers often aggregate outcomes to estimate treatment effects on abstract concepts, such as "crime" or "wealth." First, I document that principal component analysis (PCA), inverse variance matrix (IVM) weighting, and standardized averaging (SA) are commonly used but have unexpected shortcomings. PCA can assign negative weights, need not maximize precision, depends on an arbitrary sign normalization, and can have nonstandard asymptotics. Unlike SA, IVM can assign negative weights, but neither necessarily maximizes precision. Second, I develop a statistical decision-theoretic approach that uses mean-squared error to choose nonnegative weights while accounting for outcome quality. I revisit a study on social distancing.
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Cluster-robust inference with a single treated cluster using the t-test (with Xinran Li)
[Paper]
[Abstract]
This paper considers inference when there is a single treated cluster and a fixed number of control clusters, a setting that is common in empirical work, especially in difference-in-differences designs. We use the t-statistic and develop suitable critical values to conduct valid inference under weak assumptions allowing for unknown dependence within clusters. In particular, our inference procedure does not involve variance estimation. It only requires specifying the relative heterogeneity between the variances from the treated cluster and some, but not necessarily all, control clusters. Our proposed test works for any significance level when there are at least two control clusters. When the variance of the treated cluster is bounded by those of all control clusters up to some prespecified scaling factor, the critical values for our t-statistic can be easily computed without any optimization for many conventional significance levels and numbers of clusters. In other cases, one-dimensional numerical optimization is needed and is often computationally efficient. We have also tabulated common critical values in the paper so researchers can use our test readily. We illustrate our method in simulations and empirical applications.
Packages
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lpinfer
R package for inference in linear programs (with Alex Torgovitsky)
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mivcausal
Stata module for testing the hypothesis about the signs of the 2SLS weights (with Alex Torgovitsky)